Dynamic Modeling and Forecasting in Big Data

Harvard Extension School

CSCI E-116

Section 1

CRN 16856

View Course Details
Most machine learning models emphasize cross-sectional data, while traditional time-series models typically focus on a small number of variables and low-frequency data. This course develops the skills and tools needed to analyze big data that are rich in both variables and time. We cover both structural and reduced-form approaches. Topics include dynamic regression models, dynamic factor models, vector autoregressions (VAR), error-correction models, dimensional-reduction techniques for high-dimensional datasets, state-space models, and methods for decomposing trends, cycles, and seasonality in high-frequency data. The course incorporates recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) for dynamic modeling and forecasting, including transformer architectures, probabilistic deep learning, diffusion models, and large language models (LLMs). Students learn how AI methods complement structural econometric approaches in high-dimensional and real-time forecasting environments. The course is taught primarily in RStudio, with supplemental use of Python. The course emphasizes data-driven and case-based applications, with relatively less focus on mathematical derivations and formal theory.

Instructor Info

William Yu, PhD

Economist, Anderson Forecast, University of California, Los Angeles, Anderson School of Management


Meeting Info

Th 7:40pm - 9:40pm (8/31 - 12/19)

Participation Option: Online Asynchronous or Online Synchronous

In online asynchronous courses, you are not required to attend class at a particular time. Instead you can complete the course work on your own schedule each week.

Deadlines

Last day to register:

Additional Time Commitments

Optional sections to be arranged.

Prerequisites

One programming course in any programming language. An introductory machine learning course, such as linear regression or machine learning in general.

Notes

This course meets via web conference. Students may attend at the scheduled meeting time or watch recorded sessions asynchronously. Recorded sessions are typically available within a few hours of the end of class and no later than the following business day. See minimum technology requirements.

All Sections of this Course

CRN Section # Participation Option(s) Instructor Section Status Meets Term Dates
26469 1 Online Asynchronous, Online Synchronous Wei Choun Yu Open Th 7:40pm - 9:40pm
Jan 24 to May 14
16856 1 Online Asynchronous, Online Synchronous Wei Choun Yu Open Th 7:40pm - 9:40pm
Aug 30 to Dec 18